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Products.
Product:
Forecast
Verification
Variable:
precip.
Model:
Integrated
ECMWF S5
UK Met Office S6
Meteo-France S8
Empirical
Date Issued:
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Forecast Type:
Mean
Prob. most lik. tercile
Categorical
Prob. above average
Prob. lower tercile
Prob. upper tercile
Prob. lower quintile
Prob. upper quintile
Verification Type:
Correlation
Brier Skill Score negative or positive anom.
Brier Skill Score lower tercile
Brier Skill Score upper tercile
Brier Skill Score lower quintile
Brier Skill Score upper quintile
Ranked Probability Skill Score tercile cat.
Ranked Probability Skill Score quintile cat.
Gerrity Score tercile cat.
ROC Skill Score negative or positive anom.
ROC Skill Score lower tercile
ROC Skill Score upper tercile
ROC Skill Score lower quintile
ROC Skill Score upper quintile
Reliability diagram negative or positive anom.
Reliability diagram lower tercile
Reliability diagram upper tercile
Reliability diagram lower quintile
Reliability diagram upper quintile
ROC plot negative or positive anom.
ROC plot lower tercile
ROC plot upper tercile
ROC plot lower quintile
ROC plot upper quintile
(Products documentation)
Previous EUROBRISA operational System (operational until Jun 2021)
Current EUROBRISA operational System
Supported By
Key idea: To improve seasonal forecasts in South America, a region where there is seasonal forecast skill and useful value
HOME
Aims
Strengthen collaboration and promote exchange of expertise and information between European and South American seasonal forecasters
Produce improved well-calibrated real-time probabilistic seasonal forecasts for South America
Develop real-time forecast products for non-profitable governmental use (e.g. reservoir management, hydropower production, and agriculture).
Project information
History
Partners
Documents
EUROBRISA project proposal
approved by ECMWF council in June 2005:
see page 5 of
ECMWF newsletter No. 104
Leverhulme research network proposal
Powerpoint overview
Presentations
EUROBRISA Integrated System Talk
in Portuguese - given at CPTEC and INMET, May 2005
Summary and Video
talk given at CPTEC
EUROBRISA talk
given at CPTEC-INMET-IRI workshop, November 2006
EUROBRISA poster
presented at WCRP workshop on seasonal prediction, Barcelona, 4-7 June 2007
PUBLICATIONS
EUROBRISA articles
News
20/02/2022
23:23:03
Update of the EUROBRISA seasonal forecast system ...
20/02/2022
23:21:12
Meteo-France System 8 coupled model seasonal forecasts are available...
14/04/2021
18:54:50
Update of the EUROBRISA seasonal forecast system ...
More news
Useful Links
South American seasonal forecasts
National Meteorological Services
CPC Regional Climate Maps
Contacts
Any comments?
Please contact either
Dr. Caio A. S. Coelho
or
Prof. David B. Stephenson
INPE
- National Institute of Space Research
CPTEC
- Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Research
© Copyright 2018 CPTEC/INPE
Comments and/or suggestions:
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